Cards EV Lab

Know what you're opening before you rip.

Disney Lorcana

AoV

Disney Lorcana

Attack of the Vine!

$194.49 Box Price
$213.58 Monte Carlo Box EV
+$19.09 EV vs. Cost
$244.06 Avg EV (55 sims)
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One Piece Card Game

OP-16

One Piece Card Game

The Time of Battle

$209.20 Box Price
$198.50 Theoretical EV
$-10.70 EV vs. Cost
$252.25 Avg EV (2 sims)
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EB-03

One Piece Card Game

Extra Booster: One Piece Heroines Edition

$327.07 Box Price
$235.45 Theoretical EV
$-91.62 EV vs. Cost
$140.49 Avg EV (8 sims)
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OP-14

One Piece Card Game

The Azure Sea's Seven

$261.38 Box Price
$249.76 Theoretical EV
$-11.62 EV vs. Cost
$525.76 Avg EV (30 sims)
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EB-02

One Piece Card Game

Extra Booster: Anime 25th Collection

$806.39 Box Price
$970.23 Theoretical EV
+$163.84 EV vs. Cost
$655.91 Avg EV (2 sims)
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EB-01

One Piece Card Game

Extra Booster: Memorial Collection

$865.89 Box Price
$433.04 Theoretical EV
$-432.85 EV vs. Cost
$148.71 Avg EV (4 sims)
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Riftbound: League of Legends TCG

VEN New

Riftbound: League of Legends TCG

Vendetta

$133.45 Box Price
$495.59 Theoretical EV
+$362.14 EV vs. Cost (launch)
$669.79 Avg EV (40 sims)
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UNL

Riftbound: League of Legends TCG

Unleashed

$150.16 Box Price
$181.34 Theoretical EV
+$31.18 EV vs. Cost
$464.14 Avg EV (89 sims)
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SFD

Riftbound: League of Legends TCG

Spiritforged

$225.64 Box Price
$167.96 Theoretical EV
$-57.68 EV vs. Cost
$183.47 Avg EV (29 sims)
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OGN

Riftbound: League of Legends TCG

Origins

$298.42 Box Price
$331.37 Theoretical EV
+$32.95 EV vs. Cost
$357.45 Avg EV (6 sims)
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Palworld OFFICIAL CARD GAME

BP-01 New

Palworld OFFICIAL CARD GAME

Dawn of Palpagos

$47.88 Box Price
$95.87 Theoretical EV
+$47.99 EV vs. Cost (launch)
$43.06 Avg EV (6 sims)
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Magic: The Gathering

MSH

Magic: The Gathering

Marvel Super Heroes

$119.14 Box Price
$205.38 Theoretical EV
+$86.24 EV vs. Cost
$190.38 Avg EV (6 sims)
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SOS

Magic: The Gathering

Secrets of Strixhaven

$136.67 Box Price
$157.00 Theoretical EV
+$20.33 EV vs. Cost
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TMT

Magic: The Gathering

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

$112.43 Box Price
$198.75 Theoretical EV
+$86.32 EV vs. Cost
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ECL

Magic: The Gathering

Lorwyn Eclipsed

$118.13 Box Price
$174.78 Theoretical EV
+$56.65 EV vs. Cost
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TLA

Magic: The Gathering

Avatar: The Last Airbender

$125.86 Box Price
$221.35 Theoretical EV
+$95.49 EV vs. Cost
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SPM

Magic: The Gathering

Marvel's Spider-Man

$126.54 Box Price
$195.93 Theoretical EV
+$69.39 EV vs. Cost
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What is EV?

Expected Value

EV (Expected Value) is the average dollar amount of cards you can expect to pull from a sealed box, based on current market prices and known pull rates. If the EV is higher than the box price, the box is a "positive EV" product. If it's lower, you're statistically likely to lose money opening it.

Why it matters

Whether you're a store owner deciding what product to crack for singles, or a collector wondering if it's worth ripping a box instead of buying singles, EV gives you a data-driven answer. It doesn't guarantee results for any single box, but over many boxes, the math holds up.

How we calculate it

We use community-verified pull rates for each rarity tier and live market prices from TCGPlayer. Newer sets run a full Monte Carlo simulation — a million-plus simulated packs — so EV comes with medians, percentiles, and hit odds, not just an average.